Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.011123 0.013338 0.016073 0.019768 0.024741 0.031381 0.041240
2025-08-03 0.008375 0.010904 0.014430 0.019936 0.028811 0.043598 0.072966
2025-08-10 0.006729 0.009195 0.012896 0.019244 0.030843 0.053760 0.112608
2025-08-17 0.005561 0.007844 0.011441 0.018029 0.031224 0.061059 0.157461
2025-08-24 0.004767 0.006891 0.010371 0.017088 0.031632 0.068760 0.220076
2025-08-31 0.004364 0.006479 0.010093 0.017502 0.035090 0.087426 0.386362
2025-09-07 0.003915 0.005918 0.009442 0.016976 0.036098 0.100210 0.598633
2025-09-14 0.003520 0.005394 0.008768 0.016222 0.036204 0.110426 0.895450
2025-09-21 0.003271 0.005094 0.008463 0.016211 0.038421 0.132753 1.756530
2025-09-28 0.003136 0.004980 0.008499 0.016998 0.043566 0.179530 6.194121
2025-10-05 0.003088 0.005015 0.008836 0.018635 0.052844 0.281178 208.519661
2025-10-12 0.002976 0.004916 0.008874 0.019509 0.060140 0.406685 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002791 0.004675 0.008612 0.019614 0.065136 0.560551 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002626 0.004457 0.008374 0.019760 0.070909 0.811849 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002431 0.004161 0.007911 0.019074 0.071894 1.008430 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002231 0.003833 0.007331 0.017873 0.069110 1.086124 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002066 0.003565 0.006865 0.016944 0.067437 1.214827 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001987 0.003469 0.006800 0.017353 0.074871 2.077395 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001870 0.003284 0.006491 0.016833 0.075603 2.694986 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001754 0.003090 0.006141 0.016088 0.074167 3.160552 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001680 0.002983 0.005999 0.016077 0.078622 5.324538 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001645 0.002957 0.006060 0.016855 0.091162 18.255634 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001642 0.002999 0.006305 0.018472 0.116041 1411.270776 NaN